💰 Money 3,240 😖 Stress 62 🪙 1,240 tokens 🛟 Support

Since the start of run #3 Settled stakes 11,950 Returned 8,540 Realised loss −3,410 tokens

Competition A · Round 12

Team A vs Team B

Saturday, 7.30pm · odds from the licensed market data feed, taken at 19:42 AEST on 27 July 2026 · about five minutes behind the market. These are the odds written onto your bet slip if you confirm, and they do not change afterwards.

Team names are anonymised. tibbi never uses the name, logo or colours of a real club, and never the name or branding of a real bookmaker.

Choose a market — head to head

The truth about this bet — you cannot hide this panel

Odds shown 2.10 A winning stake of 100 returns 210

Implied probability (from the odds) 47.6% Taken straight from the odds (1 ÷ 2.10). This number already reflects the displayed pricing margin — it is not the true underlying chance of winning.

Market-normalised estimate 45.5% A mechanical estimate made by normalising both displayed prices to 100%. It is not a prediction of the true underlying chance or how often this team will actually win.

Normalised theoretical edge (separate from overround) 4.5% The two implied probabilities are 47.6% (1 ÷ 2.10) and 57.1% (1 ÷ 1.75), which add up to 104.8%: a 4.8 percentage-point overround. Normalising the full book gives a separate theoretical edge of 1 − 1/1.048 = 4.5%.

Long-run expectation −4.5% Under the market-normalised model, staking 100 repeatedly has a modelled average return of 95.45. Actual outcomes vary and the estimate is not a forecast.

🔒 These are real market odds and they are never adjusted for you — not by your win-loss history, not by your mood, not by how much you use the app.

How much do you want to stake

Stake

Your wallet holds 1,240 tokens. New tokens come only from completed lessons and fixed Showdown milestones — there is no purchase, top-up, gift or transfer. This pilot applies a provisional 300-token per-bet safety cap, so your whole balance can never be staked at once.

Cancel

A stake below 10, above the 300-token cap, or above your available balance switches the button off. See the insufficient-balance state.

Tokens have no cash value. They cannot be bought, sold or exchanged for money.

This run so far

Realised loss

3,410

44 settled bets · 450 more awaiting settlement

The settled result is 3,410 tokens down. Another 450 tokens remain locked in unsettled slips and are not yet wins or losses.

View your betting history

Before you stake, remember

There is no hot streak. Every match is independent of the last one.
Winning once does not lower the house edge next time.
Doubling up to chase a loss is the fastest way to lose more.

This is what a real betting site will not tell you.

📚 Take a lesson on the house edge